War on Terrror -- Will Ozawa opt out?
How will the recent election affect US-Japan relations?
I hope to have a lot to say about this in the future, but for now just a little bit regarding the war on terror ...
Japan has been a strong ally of America in the war on terror. While Japan only sent a minimal contingent to Iraq, Japan's real support has been in the Indian ocean where they have provided vital and necessary refueling for ships and have assiduously patrolled the waters inspecting well over 10,000 ships.
While I could be in error, I do not think America even pays for this fuel. I have seen quotes put the amount of refueling at between 30 to 50 percent.
The loss of such support would certainly be a great blow to George Bush and the war on terror. However, as I understand it, the DPJ have pledged not to support this operation. Now that they essentially control the upper house, what will they do?
A recent Reuters article notes:
- Japan expert Michael Green of the Center for Strategic and International Studies said Abe would in particular have a hard time renewing legislation that allows Japanese ships to work in the Indian Ocean to support allied war efforts in Afghanistan. That legislation, which expires in November, as well as year-end negotiations on the billions of dollars Japan pays to host U.S. troops "are going to be very ripe targets for the opposition" Democratic Party of Japan, Green said.
- Whatever the legislation, however, the engagement in joint military operations in the Indian Ocean, Pakistan and Afghanistan of forces whose only justification is 'self-defense' surely stretches the self defense principle to the limit. Secondly, whatever else they are doing, as Japan rushes to dispatch forces, including (if Prime Minister Koizumi has his way) its Maritime Self Defense Force missile and torpedo-equipped, state-of-the-art, Aegis frigate, to the Indian Ocean, it is plainly engaged in the 'threat or use of force as a means of settling disputes', which is proscribed by its constitution.
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It's my understanding that
It's my understanding that the Lower House can force legislation through after sixty days of deliberation by the Upper House if the former has a two thirds majority, which is the case at the moment. You're right in stating that the SDF dispatch is unconstitutional, but I don't think it will prevent Japan under Abe from continuing its support.
Perhaps Ozawa will play up the fact that the DPJ has been consistent on this issue (they opposed the original legislation). Despite being seen in the 1990s as pro-U.S., a lot of his rhetoric lately has been quite dovish.